Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 159.243927 184.928863 214.830549 252.559787 299.390255 356.269743 4.316147e+02
2025-06-08 121.730553 152.450848 192.054274 248.078956 327.386136 439.069991 6.149512e+02
2025-06-15 105.490519 139.192659 185.888731 257.777587 370.496587 549.829877 8.790816e+02
2025-06-22 88.558006 120.893294 167.885647 244.535421 373.759001 598.838976 1.065227e+03
2025-06-29 78.762982 110.798594 159.383624 242.938641 393.779186 680.895611 1.355103e+03
2025-07-06 71.330477 102.952471 152.711196 242.382794 414.647575 771.140361 1.719132e+03
2025-07-13 68.298348 101.368633 155.559675 258.491931 470.967356 957.158358 2.472651e+03
2025-07-20 66.163254 100.839437 159.918194 278.084516 540.424633 1208.025905 3.701014e+03
2025-07-27 61.901040 96.177164 156.264518 281.179592 574.442948 1386.879615 4.929594e+03
2025-08-03 58.767556 93.059296 154.904586 288.596021 621.173340 1630.565662 6.894313e+03
2025-08-10 55.123323 88.625295 150.444674 288.423327 648.712951 1832.294430 9.125697e+03
2025-08-17 52.309104 85.390694 147.859256 291.922757 687.627445 2103.616225 1.270337e+04
2025-08-24 48.783859 80.827540 142.723290 290.193859 716.663979 2386.916135 1.803142e+04
2025-08-31 45.255426 75.966797 136.490547 284.967449 735.069925 2655.595080 2.538571e+04
2025-09-07 43.562114 74.426639 136.935938 296.603870 814.024714 3320.129185 4.726632e+04
2025-09-14 39.892270 68.660058 127.593817 280.732252 791.542162 3410.833006 5.948470e+04
2025-09-21 37.653190 65.539099 123.678962 278.821553 820.385638 3866.657036 9.749796e+04
2025-09-28 35.724562 62.866693 120.437693 278.156587 854.559066 4427.504594 1.755824e+05
2025-10-05 35.247595 63.109786 123.847819 297.461802 982.035407 6011.492129 6.716561e+05
2025-10-12 34.969360 63.731756 128.231518 321.032820 1146.810320 8553.778485 7.324184e+06
2025-10-19 33.600521 61.894042 126.439774 324.765257 1219.863492 10412.167578 1.997968e+08
2025-10-26 32.592301 60.749199 126.219437 333.718570 1328.457835 13386.133041 NaN
2025-11-02 31.227503 58.703362 123.480408 333.509936 1387.030944 15962.296532 NaN